I always find it bewildering when you post about this. You yourself posted once about your reflections on your own personal growth over a 1-2 year period. What that demonstrated is you aware of how your EXPERIENCE has helped to improve you and your abilities, raw talent aside.
Here is some ideas on the subject of raw talent versus experience, courtesy of Chat GPT.
What âexperienceâ actually is
Experience isnât just time served. Itâs the stack of patterns youâve seen + feedback youâve absorbed + habits youâve automated. Over many reps (especially varied, imperfect reps), you build:
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Pattern recognition: youâve seen this play/problem before.
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Procedural memory: you act well without thinking hard.
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Calibration: you know what usually works, whatâs risky, and when to switch plans.
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Composure under stress: youâve felt the pressure; your decision quality drops less.
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Teamcraft & timing: you understand people, pacing, and how long things really take.
That mix turns into faster, better choices with fewer errorsâespecially when things get weird.
Why experience often beats raw talent
Raw talent gives you capacity (speed, strength, IQ, memory, coordination). But without a pattern library and scar tissue, you get:
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Good execution of the wrong plan.
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Slow or brittle decisions when the situation departs from the script.
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More unforced errors (poor risk management, bad spacing/timing, misreads).
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Overconfidence that collapses under time pressure.
In many real-world tasks, error rate and decision quality matter more than peak capacity. Thatâs why a slightly less âgiftedâ but highly experienced person often outperforms the prodigy in live conditions.
Quick examples where experience reliably trumps talent
Sports
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Soccer (center-back vs. fast striker):
The veteran defender uses body shape, angles, and the offside line to make the speed advantage irrelevant. He anticipates the through ball and wins by being in the right spot rather than the fastest player.
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Basketball (veteran point guard vs. explosive rookie):
The vet probes pace, calls sets to hunt mismatches, draws fouls, and manufactures efficient shots. The rookie may score in bursts, but the vet controls the game and late-clock situations.
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American football (QB):
Big arm â good quarterback. Pre-snap reads, blitz identification, protection checks, and progression timing let a less âtoolsyâ QB neutralize superior athletes by throwing before windows open.
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Tennis:
A craftier player wins by patterning pointsâmixing spins, serving to patterns, attacking weaker wings, and managing momentumâbeating a harder hitter who canât adjust mid-match.
High-stakes jobs
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Aviation (captain):
Talent flies a perfect day. Experience saves the imperfect oneâabnormals, ice, wind shear, ATC surprises. Checklist discipline, CRM, and âaviateânavigateâcommunicateâ under stress keep errors low.
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Surgery:
The gifted technician is fast; the experienced surgeon is safe when anatomy varies or a bleed starts. Knowing âthe next best moveâ under complication is learned, not innate.
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Firefighting:
Reading smoke, construction, and collapse risk dictates where not to go. That judgment is mostly experiential.
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Investing / Trading:
Bright novices find great theses; veterans size positions, hedge, and avoid ruin. Survival bias favors those with experience at risk management, not just idea generation.
Everyday work
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Software engineering:
Experience shows which solution is simplest to maintain, how to debug systematically, when to avoid cleverness, and how to de-risk releases. A brilliant coder can still ship fragile systems.
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Sales:
Listening for real buying signals, qualifying early, isolating objections, and navigating procurement beats charisma alone.
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Teaching:
Classroom management, pacing, and differentiation (reading the room) turn the same lesson from chaos into learning.
A simple model
Think of performance as roughly:
Output â Talent Ă (Deliberate Practice Quality) Ă (Experience under Variety)
Talent sets the ceiling; experience under variety (different opponents, edge cases, failure modes) makes your results reliable and transferable.
When talent still matters (and how they interact)
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In pure athletic ceilings (100m sprint) or tasks with minimal complexity, talent dominates.
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In messy, dynamic, high-stakes domains, talent without experience is volatile; experience without talent is steady. The best are bothâbut if you must pick one for real-world reliability, experience usually wins.
How to build experience that actually counts
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Seek variety: different contexts, opponents, environments (not just more of the same).
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Tight feedback loops: film review, post-mortems, checklists.
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Deliberate reps under constraint: time pressure, limited resources, âwhat ifâ drills.
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Catalog errors: keep a personal âfailure playbookâ and rehearse corrections.
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Stand next to experts: borrow their pattern libraries and heuristics.
Bottom line: Talent is potential; experience is proof. In complex or pressured situations, the person who has been there and fixed that tends to outperform the person who merely couldâon paperâdo it better.
One of the areas that jumped out at me was in terms of software development and this little gem, âwhen to avoid clevernessâ. Often we see developers over-engineering things or overusing things like reusable elements due to an insatiable need to use their cleverness. I personally, when having lesser years of experience made those types of mistakes. Now, I can see those as mistakes and correct for them.
Overall, for me, experience is something that can not just be stated as âiâve been building on bubble for x yearsâ, there does need to be a demonstration of how the years have helped gain experience and to grow personally and to learn more.
It is just like life. At 22 I thought I knew so much, at 42 I know I donât know anything, and can only hope by 62 Iâll have figured out a few things.
@bubbledeveloper1 if you have demonstrated your experience on upwork, you need to lean into that and ensure your upwork profile and the experience it demonstrates can be communicated effectively to prospective clients.
In terms of how much you can charge, I believe there is some average of rates in terms of a range of around $20-$200.